Sunday 18 May 2014

Insight

Demand outlook

china imports more
 ukraine conflict
US oil export ban

OPEC - forecast - increase in demand in second half ,will produce more to meet requirements.
Price 

Reports say that OPEC and other Oil producing countries  require price of 100 $
Price movement
99.35 -100.03 - I see long build up
one daily big candle, followed by another high volume
candle which prevented the shorts,keeping price above 100

101.28 : FIB 50% provided support when the price ran to 102.60
effectively controlled the shorts
101.28 -101.85 -I see price consolidates and stay above 101.85
price movement strength

crude oil strongly resisted at 2.5% of its every upmove
97.50 is strong base.
oscillated near 100
touched 102.50 ,but managed to stay above 101.50

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