Short gold 1322,1314,1305 stop 1331

7.881	36.36829	1322.65
8	36.24929	1314.01
8.118	36.13129	1305.47

stoploss

1047
32.35738
5.688355
0.351563	0.014063
6.039917
36.4806
1330.834

US OIL ;

some thoughts:

two types of trading , volatility and trend.

by my trading experience , i am sure we cannot ride on both.

In that case, often I am caught in between these two.

Now with certain loss remembrances and how I missed my profits,

I have to come to a conclusion, that I have to look at the larger picture of the future trend

 and not to look at short term volatility.

Whether Doha talks fails or US keeping very large inventory, it didnt matter at all: if I

look at short term volatility,I have to concentrate on this.

At the same time, Oil producing countries are hit hard by low oil rates.

by some logical and political manipulation, they have to keep the prices to the level to sustain 

their economies.

Instead of having a bearish or bullish bias, if I move with the oil prices, there will not be 

big draw down in my account.

Then need to set up the indicator to show the real trend, no newspaper reports, big guys

analysis, elliott/ gann/harmonic, whatever the inputs that influences trading decisions.

Based on inputs, I tried to stick to basic MA, MACD, STOCH, RSI and CCI  to look at the trend.
MACD is lagging, STOCH,RSI either too fast or lag looks at volatility but CCI steady and follows the trend and not the volatility.

Out of available CCI indicators, I took MA / CCI ATR indicator and it looks promising to me.
PFA the chart and assess the merit of my article.

xtiusd: 240/18/0 MTF

US OIL: On final stages of set up

NSA Shri Ajit Doval Shocking revelation on why British left India -Every...

nifty

XAU USD : Harmonic pattern in the chart

XAU USD : BUY call

I lost here.

EURUSD: EWI open house chart( elliott wave count) and my MACD chart

price moving towards 49 from buy 39 as per earlier post : two possible studies< ascending channel>

US OIL : Set up

The last hour candle of Gold is THE confirmed signal of Gold looking at 1305. I have entered buy with stop 1225

My trade: Already I am in sell with my previous fractal high as stoploss

US OIL : Two possible studies:

US OIL : My 4H trend . Sell @ 42.70

Buy trend over :
Low 36.06, buy shown @37.48
High 43.54, trend ended @ 42.71.

US OIL : Trail SL triggered and no long positions now. I hold 42.75 fractal sell

US OIL : Recent peak 43.35, stoploss moved to 42.44

Gold: My fractal strategy review: Buy shown at 1214.57, reversal at 1251.07

GOLD ; Shorted @ 1251

Gold: exited longs at 1253. Awaiting my second signal confirmation to go either way

US OIL STRATEGY : My MT4 Trend low is 36.06, BUY shown at 36.40, recent peak 41.77 trail SL now @ 40.27

US OIL : 40.27 trail sl as per my MT4

Gold ; Using trendline, I bought @1235, while my new strategy shows buys @, 1220 now it moves its stoploss to 1253.

Very clear levels of entry,exit,reversal

Hedged trades : trying to understand the mechanics so as to improve the set up: the important aspect is trend is friend and this follows that

This I am applying to My favourite futures OIL and Gold

Hedged trades; Guys switch to Hedged trades

All these years in futures trading my positions were naked and open with stoploss and target.
But I earn,lose,lose earn, process went on but my kitty was net loss to a small extent.

These trading strategies, indicators,elliott,fibonacci ,gann and harmonic patterns
never gave peace of trading and pleasure of earning until I switched to Hedged trades with my set up
in crude,

Hedged trades, I see myself not get panicked and I feel better now, I do not care whether the
prices go south or north.

More importantly I am fully satisfied with the confidence no loss of money,less work and the pleasure of trading is as intense as my bond with my family.

Must read: Written by Anna Vital

http://fundersandfounders.com/how-elon-musk-started/

US OIL > My strategy testing moved to Demo from paper trading

xau : 4h trendline breakout. 1203-1211 support, I am in buy and levels are below

2.881	34.7	1203.601
3	34.8	1211.872
3.119	34.9	1220.171
3.236	35	1228.359
3.382	35.2	1238.614
3.618	35.4	1255.281
3.881	35.7	1273.986
4	35.8	1282.496
4.119	35.9	1291.033
4.236	36	1299.455
4.382	36.2	1310.002
4.618	36.4	1327.141
4.881	36.7	1346.372

XAU USD : SELL reversed to buy now at 1234.9

US OIL observation:

Fractal based trading gave better results than any other trading system I know

US OIL : Demo trade on using Fractal

	From	March	18
SELL FRACTAL							BUY FRACTAL
41.13							41.71
41.84							41.51	83.2	41.61	40.9	0.67	2	1.34	loss
82.97	41.49	41.9	0.4	2	0.83	loss
							40.94	39.7			1.2		1.2	profit
41.9	41.39		0.5	1	0.51	loss
							39.74
41.39							39.7	79.4	39.72	38.7	1.05	2	2.1	loss
39.76
38.85							38.67	39.1			0.42		0.42	loss
38.82
36.2							39.09	38.4			0.72		0.72	loss
195.02	39	36.31	2.7	5	13.5	profit	39.29	38.2			1.05		1.05	loss
					4.21	loss	37.14	38.2					1.1	profit
							37.14	37			0.16		0.16	loss	5.79
							36.98	36.4			0.62		0.62	profit	2.92
	As on April 04, profit				9.26									loss	2.87

My trade statistics ( trial )

20-Mar-16
Down trend:  Sell fractal					Downtrend : Buy fractal
41.07					41.28
41.64					41.44
41.44					41.36	40.76	1.2	loss
39.76
163.91	39.14				40.76
40.9775		7.35	profit		39.53		1.23	profit
	39.69	0.55	loss
39.05					39.53
38.24					39.37
38.15					39.45	38.33	2.24	loss
36.9
35.64					38.33	38.53	0.2	loss
187.98	35.53
37.596		2.07	8.866	gross profit	38.53	37.89	0.64	loss
			1.47	gross loss
	as on April4		7.396	net profit	38.3	37.57	0.73	loss	5.01
					37.57	35.26	2.31	profit	3.54

US OIL : As per earlier posting Set your targets,

You can now make your own call:

stoploss 37.57, go short at 36.12 for target of  33.03 and 30.37.

4.13 1.4 5.5 30.37 6.5 1.4 5.1 26.3
4.13 1.6 5.7 33.03 6.5 1.6 4.9 23.94
4.13 1.9 6 36.12 6.5 1.9 4.6 21.43
4.13 2 6.1 37.57

XAUUSD: 1204 - 1212 provides strong support as it is 1283 sqrt 1. awaiting crack below 1202 to look at 1152 / 1144 sqrt 2

XAUUSD;

High 8 of 1283 is peak 1920;
So 1283 will stand now as recent peak and act as strong resistance.

High 12 of 1012 is peak 1920
High 8 of 1012 is peak 1585
High 6 of 1012 is recent peak 1430.
High 4 of 1012 is recent peak 1282
High 2 of 1012 is recent peak 1144.

will continue further posting on this subject

My study US OIL

US OIL : set ur target points

	4.13	0.1	4.2	17.97
17.05	4.13	0.2	4.4	19.05	42.39	6.5	0.2	6.3	39.37
	4.13	0.4	4.5	20.35		6.5	0.4	6.1	37.56
	4.13	0.6	4.7	22.54		6.5	0.6	5.9	34.72
	4.13	0.9	5	25.1		6.5	0.9	5.6	31.69
	4.13	1	5.1	26.31		6.5	1	5.5	30.37
	4.13	1.1	5.2	27.54		6.5	1.1	5.4	29.07
	4.13	1.2	5.4	28.78		6.5	1.2	5.3	27.82
	4.13	1.4	5.5	30.37		6.5	1.4	5.1	26.3
	4.13	1.6	5.7	33.03		6.5	1.6	4.9	23.94
	4.13	1.9	6	36.12		6.5	1.9	4.6	21.43
	4.13	2	6.1	37.57		6.5	2	4.5	20.35
	4.13	2.1	6.2	39.04		6.5	2.1	4.4	19.29
	4.13	2.2	6.4	40.52		6.5	2.2	4.3	18.27
	4.13	2.4	6.5	42.4		6.5	2.4	4.1	17.05
	4.13	2.6	6.7	45.52		6.5	2.6	3.9	15.15
	4.13	2.9	7	49.14		6.5	2.9	3.6	13.18
	4.13	3	7.1	50.82		6.5	3	3.5	12.33

US OIL : I guess smart money booking profits: but price going below 37.75, I have serious doubts that they are shorting oil,in that case we can see 23.94 as posted earlier.

My inflection point may be achieved in 2016

XAU USD - Larger picture

US OIL : Big Picture

MT5 provides flexibility in TF and input parameters, Feel better trading setup with it. Go for it.