Tuesday 19 September 2017

XAUUSD : Passive grid trading:1305 buy hit, 1294 and 1316 now in Focus.


BPCL : Fuel bills paid back if you own this stock.

BPCL is in growth trajectory with periodic profit booking.
Should own this stock in oil and gas space.
My Idea;


As marked in the indicators chart and studying the correction method here,
there is not much to take into consideration and calculation.

0.382 correction given the stock support at 490 which is now my stop.
0.618 resistance at  546 shows the stock will reach new LTH.

Buy cmp 506 and add on dips till 495 stop 487.

FIB congruence seen at 648.

Target set at early exit  636/642.

26% upside seen.


SBI; Bleeding bank

No analysis required .
Only exit target needed.



Short Term FIB congruence seen at 254.
Long term FIB congruence shows 240.

No interest.

KOTAKMAHINDRA BANK ; Locker filler

KMB; Have you ever seen steep correction in this stock ?

Very careful bank silently growing the balance sheet and investors locker.

No portfolio can miss this stock.

My idea ;

Just bought at 1035 when it broke R.H with RSI looking up.



Technical parameters;

MACD Histogram rising below zero line
RSI looking up
STOCH  may cross
Broke Recent High.

The case on examining intuitively bought.

I have set my early exit target 1146.
Correction here: 1117






GAIL- Lot more price pumping forward.

GAIL ; looks attractive on chart.likely to gain momentum forward looking for LTH.



Technical parameters;

MACD signal cross above zero confirms wave 4 over and wave 5 is on.
RSI - looking up above 50
Stoch - Midway.

This is a clear buy now 0.382 - 398 will act as support in any crash event.
Will buy at cmp 414 and on dips 398.

now setting target,FIB confluence seen at 521.
Wave 5 and Gann target seen at 509.

My exit set at 509.

23% upside seen which is good for a Nifty blue-chip stock 


DOW : My beloved Americans; Be cautious.Dow approaching very strong resistance 22960-23005.Correction awaiting.

15370 123.9758 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622 135.4622
11.13444 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882 11.63882

0.1125 0.225 0.3375 0.45 0.5625 0.675 0.7875 0.9 1.0125 1.125 1.2375
11.24694 11.86382 11.97632 12.08882 12.20132 12.31382 12.42632 12.53882 12.65132 12.76382 12.87632
126.4937 140.7503 143.4323 146.1396 148.8723 151.6302 154.4135 157.2221 160.0559 162.9151 165.7997
16000.66 19810.64 20572.82 21356.79 22162.95 22991.72 23843.52 24718.77 25617.9 26541.34 27489.53
18325 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699 135.3699
11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486 11.63486
0.1125 0.16875 0.225 0.28125 0.3375 0.39375 0.45 0.50625 0.5625 0.61875 0.675
11.74736 11.80361 11.85986 11.91611 11.97236 12.02861 12.08486 12.14111 12.19736 12.25361 12.30986
138.0004 139.3251 140.6562 141.9936 143.3373 144.6874 146.0437 147.4064 148.7755 150.1508 151.5325
19044.1 19411.48 19784.16 20162.17 20545.58 20934.43 21328.77 21728.66 22134.14 22545.28 22962.11

XAUUSD: Grid pending order buy - 1305 triggered


Monday 18 September 2017

L &T - Giant looking to stand tall,building blocks up.

L& T : Engineering giant and future defence weapons manufacturer,building blocks up.

No portfolio can miss this bluechip stock.

My ideas;


Technical parameters:

RSI,STOCH already moved up.
The question before me is can it move above ATH?
MACD says yes.

Buy CMP 1218 and on Dips.

now on discussing target FIB congruence seen at 1563.

I plan to exit early at 1557

28% upside seen.Impressive.

INFRATEL : calling

While every other guy looks at JIO,this tower calls for a buy. How ?
My explanations below:


Technical parameters:

MACD ; likely wave 1 of wave 5 on the anvil, rising histogram below zero.
RSI: Above 50 and upward reversal seen.
STOCH: Long 25,short 34 calling it a BUY.

Buy CMP - 384  and on dips

FIB congruence seen at 540
0.382 completed at 282.

All points to a possible wave 5 target of 540.

I will exit early at 533.

39% upside seen.Looks a good buy.

Sunday 17 September 2017

HINDUNILEVER ; seems lever will be removed to get it down.

Below is my idea on HINDUNILEVER.

The chart tells me wave 5 is going to end and correction ahead.


Technical parameters:

MACD: Above zero line, histogram falling
RSI: Quite interesting to note while price moves up it is going down, indicating a possibe divergence.
PVT: not in line with price.

Price-action last few weeks suggest consolidation and distribution happened which is wave 4.

Leading indicators and FIB congruence suggest wave 5 is on and it will end 1325-1328.

CMP 1246 ,early exit 1322.70 indicating 6% upside, but shorting is an ideal move.

No buy.

HINDALCO ; All time high ahead

I will explain my idea on HINDALCO.


The stock is near its all time high in the last ten years. Will it fall from here?
The answer is with MACD.

Technical parameters
MACD : No divergence seen and looking up.
RSI : High
PVT : Steadily rising .

I will buy the BO : 257 and on corrections.
FIB congruence seen at 326.
252.85 198.9 210.35 83.1 165
326 73.15 127.1 115.65 242.9 161
58.8 -194.05 -140.1 -151.55 -24.3 -106.2
-0.37696 -0.90721 -0.76311 -9.99588 -1.51601
.
Early exit advised at 324.75.

26.4% upside ahead.

Saturday 16 September 2017

ITC : Holding is injurious to wealth.

Chart self explanatory.


XAUUSD; My GRID plan and passive trading.

1296 is BO.
1447 is Target.
1440 is early exit.

I want to keep my trades simple.
My FIBS say 11 $ is a good grid.
This grid stop is 1260.

BUYING GRID
1294
1305
1316
1327
1338
1349
NIL
NIL
NIL
1393
1404
1415
         NIL
         NIL
1440  Exit all
1446  Short
1453  short

COAL INDIA : Fumes seen.fire will rage soon.

I will discuss now COAL INDIA.

Seeing this chart,amazed at the power of 61.8.
When I explain, you will be astonished.



Technical parameters

MACD signal cross happened in First week of Sep.
RSI upward
PVT up but shows momentum is still lacking.

Now have to check confirmation of downtrend closing .
448 -233 is full FIB cycle and looking at a new trend confirmed by indicators pointing up.

Now it is clear buy and early entry suggested before momentum steps up.
Buy 259 and on dips.

Now we go to target setting.
61.8 of the Previous downtrend is 315.20 and a Horizontal line is plotted.
You can see the line passes through the lows of two candles at different periods
and are marked with flags.

Can you see the big Gap-down there? MAGIC of 61.8.

Now that is my target with an early exit price of 314.85.

21.5% upside.

VEDL : Pain ahead.Exit holdings.

I express my views on VEDL,the company I admire.



All indicators point downwards.My fibs indicate a midterm uptrend cycle has ended.
Correction has started. My initial thought was is it advisable to enter a correction?
My levels shows  abc correction, " a " possibly at 287-289 and " c" at 257-259.

I will Sell VEDL 320-325 stop 333.75  with targets of 291 and 261

NIFTY : WEALTH CREATOR- FIB Analysis for next two weeks.

The support yesterday 10043 gives us the next Fib target.



Early exit planned at 10367.

BAJAJ AUTO : Indian Mobike Ideas; ON THE RIDE

My idea on  BAJAJ AUTO;



Technical parameters:

MACD signal crossed,rising above the zero line.
RSI above 60
PVT crossed the trendline.

The move already started and traders have taken positions (Long).
This scenario is in buy mode,buy on dips too.Buy at 3025

The work is to set the target for short term.

The congruence of FIBS seen at 3425 and the early exit set at 3415.

13% upside seen. 

India's Oil Giant : ONGC; Analysis


I will discuss my idea on ONGC.





Technical parameters:
MACD - Signal crossed yesterday.
RSI- above 30 but trend confirmed if it goes above 50.
PVT- divergence points trend has started.

Though the stage is early,I would like to trade on confirmed opportunities.
When FIB ratio applied,it is inferred it has to decisively cross, 0.382, which is 168.20.
with cushion of 0.119, the price which I would like to buy is above 169.25.

While every other stock in oil and gas space has moved up,this one has been a laggard for many
weeks. While the upward price move can be because of shorts covering and some buying, we have to
wait for the momentum.

For that we have to wait for the prices to trade above the previous week high 167.85.

Coming to the target setting, we cant apply the standard FIB setting, but the other way round.
The weekly previous high,recent low candles fib are drawn.
The yearly low candle and the recent low candle fib are drawn.

Looked for the confluence and it is seen at 223.30.
Getting out early always advisable,223.30 minus -0.119 set at 221.75 .

And that is 31% yield.

If the stock triggers my buy price coming week , I assume my target will be achieved in 12 weeks,the candles counted from the year low counted as 0,all previous candles counted is 12.

31% yield in 3 months is better.

Thank you for reading.

nifty