Tuesday 24 December 2019

Two things I admire and inspire in this world.

1. The bond between Foetus 6 months above and mother till the offspring grows up to two years.

2. Four generations living together, Great grands,Grands,Parents and Children.

Saturday 14 December 2019

An aricle by Mr. Sree Rupavatharam

Friday 6 December 2019

My system of trading MCX -GOLD


                                       Pragna Securities

Wealth creation by trading financial instruments online regulated by Government and funds protection by Law.
Gold is a commodity that is traded since ancient days. Many businesses came and gone.
Humans needs are constantly updated. Hence no business survives  when time is considered.  No wealth is created unless you hold Land and  Gold.
While Land cannot be traded too often with less money, Gold can be traded with small money regularly.
Gold prices never are stagnant. It is determined by the policies of govts.and the risks associated with other financial markets. It is often used as Hedging tool by Govts to cover its risks and most of the countries  hold huge reserves of Gold.
How Gold can be traded online to make  money ?
The idea of gold trading is to capture the volatility in prices in a specified time frame or in percentage.
We have or provided many facilities in trading with time based charts. It seems very few people win by trading time based charts and we have also failed in many periods.
By our research in our ways of trading, it was  found  relying on one particular setup was the cause.
We have come up with  Moving average based trend indicator (Hull MA super Trend) which is one of the best indicator so far.
Here we cannot  have a specified format as prices of gold do not move in an uniform fashion, extreme spikes has been witnessed upto 2.5% in an hour during the budget days of the govt when govt imposed tax on on gold imports.
We developed  an  algorithm to find a particular parameter that gave best results in past periods counted by no.of weeks. PSI set of indicators.
Using a best parameters set up with the help of PSI analytic, our trading did not give satisfactory results .Though we made moderate money ,it was not consistent.
Consistency is an important factor for living and wealth creation.
Internal trading analysis, it is understood now,it is not worth  trading with one set of parameters.
It is now understood now one hour timeframe is the right timeframe to tradewith.
 It is now understood now PSI -1 indicator is the right indicator.
It is now understood that we need to trade with datas obtained from the PSI-GLMM  scanner
for one hour timeframe .
 Always we get 17 weeks data in MT4.

What we are going to do is:
1. calculate best parameters using GLMM scanner for 4 weeks.
2. calculate best parameters using GLMM scanner for 8 weeks.
3. calculate best parameters using GLMM scanner for 12 weeks.
4. calculate best parameters using GLMM scanner for 16 weeks.
Take the highest NPAT parameters for the above 4,8,12 and 16 weeks.
Load the parameters in four 60 min charts of MT4 GLMM#.
Use  four brokers like Zebu, TPO, Composite Edge and another one.
Put 30k, ( margin 20 k with spare money  10k ) in each broker.
Assign one 60 min charts to each broker with designated weeks.
Trade buy sell signals with them.

Why we have to use 4 setups:
4 weeks parameter focus on short term while 16 weeks parameter focus on longterm.
8 weeks and 12 weeks concentrate on midterm.
We do get four different parameters to trade.
instead of trading maximum lots in one setup, we diversify and focus on different trends.
Short term setup -1 ( 4 weeks)
Midterm set up -2 (8 and 12 weeks)
Long term setup -1 ( 16 weeks)
The price volatility differ, vary every week and we focus on 16 weeks trend.
The aim is to make money consistently.

Next important thing is recalculation.
After completion of trading the first set up with 4 weeks data, we recalculate again for 4 weeks.
After completion of trading the second set up with 8 weeks data, we recalculate again for 8 weeks.
After completion of trading the third set up with 12 weeks data, we recalculate again for 12 weeks.
After completion of trading the fourth  set up with 16 weeks data, we recalculate again for 16 weeks.




The parameter set files calculated on 05/12/19 are
4 weeks: 46,4,2.57 : 4 Weeks Data 8:7/1, +14.46(14.71- 0.25) next recalculate: Jan 02,2020 for 4 Wks
8 weeks: 35.24.2.14:8 Weeks Data 15:14/1,+26.84(27.98-1.14)next recalculate,Jan 30,2020 for 8Wks
12 weeks : 33,51,2.33:12Weeks Data 23:18/5,+36.30(44.07-7.77)next recalcu,Feb 27,2020 for 12 wks
16weeks : 8,46,2.69:16Weeks Data 38:22/16,+57.52(77.39-19.87)next recalcu,Mar 26,2020 for16wks
The charts are loaded.
Buy sell condition indicator is used to
1.calculation date and when it is to be recalculated.
2.calculation datasets of designated weeks  and P/L.
3. next recalculation date.
Indicators needed for this setup:
1.Gold mini scanner,
2.PSI-Hst
3.Buy sell conditions and
4.Time and Price.
It has been observed that the above 4 sets trading can yield consistently 800 points per lot per month. This set trading beats the buy and hold strategy  by four times  and generates  return on investment over 6 times if traded over a year. i.e., 1.10 lakhs investment may become 6.60 Lakhs Over the time out of the profits generated lots can be added in the order of
8 W, 4 W, 16 W and 12 W.
In this way, every 6 months, one set (4 lots) can be added.
Trade patiently and be loyal to the system.

charts  06/12/19




Monday 2 December 2019

Emil - A write up by Geoffrey Verity Schofield.

This is Emil Zatopek, and he’s not just one of the greatest runners in history, he’s one of the best human beings to ever live.
Never heard of him?
You, my friend, are in for a treat.
That’s him, naturally, in first.
Emil was born on September nineteenth, 1922-coincidentally, the same date as his future wife. She must have loved that-as someone who just got married, I know women are all about that destiny and fate stuff.
Zatopek was the seventh child in a poor Czechoslovakian family and, as you might have guessed, life was not easy growing up. Later, Australian coach Percy Cerutty said ‘He earned, and won for himself, every inch of a very hard road.’
If he says that, it’s 100% true.
Percy Cerutty, also an old-time hard-as-nails crazy bad-ass motherf*cker.
At sixteen years old, Emil was working in a shoe factory, when the factory sports coach (I guess that was a thing?) had them all run a race.
He came second out of a hundred runners, and thus, his story began.
He approached training in a very logical way. Other runners of his day ran slowly for long distances. He thought to himself:
“I already know how to run slowly. I need to learn how to run fast”.
He developed a rigorous system of fast repetitions with short, ruthlessly limited recovery jogs. He started with running around a 400m track 10 times, quickly, with short jogs in between each effort.
He was not the originator of interval training, but he was the foremost promoter of it, and his workouts are the stuff of legend.
  • Tempo runs are great, but they are done much slower than 5k race pace-usually about half marathon pace.
  • Intervals, on the other hand, can be done faster than race pace, at race pace, or slower than race pace. They offer far more flexibility. You can alter the pace and recoveries as much as you want. They’re specific.
By the mid-1950s he was doing up to 100 fast 400m laps a day, with 150m jogs in between.
To save you the counting, that’s 55km, or 34 miles!
His usual workout was 40x400m, but still…that’s 10 miles worth of intervals. It’s no wonder that he dominated.
When Zátopek first developed his regime of high-volume interval training, his fellow athletes were appalled. It was so…so different from everything everyone else was doing.
‘Everyone said, “Emil, you are a fool!”’ he remembered. ‘But when I first won the European Championship, they said: “Emil, you are a genius!”’
And they were right. That’s true genius-going against the grain, going against common knowledge, going against what everyone in your entire field believes is right. Following your gut. Going the road less traveled.
The best part of this picture is the expression on the face of the guy above him.
If someone looks at you when you are running, you’re doing something!
‘Before Zátopek,’ wrote Fred Wilt, the US 10,000m runner and training guru, ‘nobody had realized it was humanly possible to train this hard.’
He was actually not particularly talented. More than average, sure…but certainly not the most talented in the major races.
He outworked people. He outlasted people. He out-willed people.
“He studied chemistry as a young man, and from the moment he took up serious running he explored hitherto untried ways of improving his performance. Early experiments included holding his breath until he passed out; eating young birch leaves (in imitation of fast-running deer, he explained); eating vast quantities of dandelions and garlic; and drinking a mixture of lemon juice and lane-marking chalk to keep up his vitamin C and calcium levels.”
While not all of his…erm…experiments succeeded, he did.
Just four years later, at 20 years old, he broke the national records at 2,000, 3,000 and 5,000 meters.
A little thing called World War Two got in the way, but he managed to win the 10,000m at the London Olympics in 1948, and came second in the 5,000m.
For most runners, an Olympic gold medal is the crowning achievement of a career.
But Emil was just getting started.
The following year Zátopek broke the 10,000m world record. Twice. Not satisfied, he went on to better his own record three times over the next four seasons. He also set world records in the 5,000 m, 20,000 m (twice), one-hour run (twice), 25,000 m (twice), and 30,000m (just once, slacker!).
Throughout this, his brutal interval workouts continued. It was almost all intervals, all the time. His willpower was legendary. He made his workouts harder on purpose, even carrying his wife on his shoulders when running sometimes, or wearing heavy shoes.
‘When a person trains once, nothing happens. When a person forces himself to do a thing a hundred or a thousand times, then he certainly develops in ways more than physical. Is it raining? That doesn’t matter. Am I tired? That doesn’t matter either. Willpower becomes no longer a problem.’
When asked about his tortured facial expressions, Zátopek is said to have replied that "It isn't gymnastics or figure skating, you know."
As a soldier, he used to jog on the spot on sentry duty. Yes, his day job was serving in the army, and it wasn’t a token position. He often trained at night after getting off from work, climbing the walls of the track to get in because it was locked (what’s your excuse, eh?).
Forced to remain indoors to do the laundry, he filled the bath with washing and jogged in it, barefoot, for two hours.
Discovering an extremely effective workout method, many would hide their secret from others.
Not Emil. He shared with others runners. He gave. He helped.
The size of his will was only eclipsed by the size of his heart.
Even his rivals loved him for his wit, humor, compassion and positivity.
In the 1952 Olympics, he was lagging behind early in the race.
Even during the last lap, he was fourth, and looked sorely beaten, his arms flapping around like a chicken with it’s head cut off.
But as the last half lap of the race approaches, you can see his will gather like a tsunami, gradually at first but quickly unstoppable.
In a burst of rage, nearly frothing at the mouth, round the last bend he burst forth, convulsing down the final straightaway to clear victory.
He had broken them.
The thing is, he wasn’t the fastest guy.
He had the slowest 1500m of the top competitors.
He had the slowest 800m.
He had the slowest sprint speed.
But he was the grittiest man to ever walk the face of this great green earth.
And on that day, it was enough. It was a world record.
A few minutes after he won the 5,000m, he was gifted with another gold, but this one wasn’t won by him.
It was won by his wife, Dana Zátopková. She was a javelin thrower, and threw 50m to win the gold medal.
Born together, gold together, old together.
Emil won the 10,000m as well. Another world record.
Three golds for the Zatopek family.
It wasn’t enough for Emil.
Fulfilling a quote of his, ‘One’s willpower increases with each task fulfilled.’, he decided to enter the marathon, an event he had never run.
Seeing as he had never ran a marathon before, his strategy was simple, and smart: he raced alongside Jim Peters, the British world-record holder at the time, and paced off of him. After a fast first fifteen kilometers, Zátopek asked the Englishman what he thought of the race thus far.
Truth be told, Peters was hurting, but he bluffed and told the Czech that the pace was "too slow," in an attempt to slip up Zátopek.
Being a marathon novice, Zátopek took him at face value, and simply accelerated.
Peters did not finish.
Zátopek won the race by two full minutes and set an Olympic record.
Four years later in 1956, Zátopek attempted to defend his marathon gold medal. However, he suffered a groin injury while training and was hospitalized for six weeks. He had a hernia. He resumed training the day after leaving hospital, but never quite regained his form.
He still finished sixth.
Who won?
None other than Alain Mimoun, who had finished second to Zatopek in that 1952 5000m.
“Victory is great, but friendship is greater”
Emil set eighteen world records, but he never got big-headed or egotistical.
This is Ron Clarke. He set almost as many world records-seventeen, in fact-about a decade after Zatopek retired. But, he never won an Olympic medal. In 1964 he was upset by Billy Mills, and in 1968 the Olympics were at altitude in Mexico City.
To this day, he doesn’t remember the last lap of that race. Some suspect that heart was permanently damaged.
Zatopek invited Ron to Czechoslovakia, and as a parting gift he gave him his 1952 Olympic 10,000 m gold medal with the following words:
"Not out of friendship, but because you deserve it."
After all those gold medals, he was naturally a hero in his native country, and quite influential. He was an influential figure in the communist party. However, he supported the democratic wing, despite knowing full well what would happen to him.
He stood up for what he believed in, and after the 1968 protests known as the “Prague Spring” he was stripped of his rank and expelled from the army and the party.
He was removed from all important positions and forced to work in a string of menial manual labor positions. He was not allowed to see his friends or his wife for long periods of time.
He ran through a hernia, through the soviet winter in his army boots, in a bucket of laundry, and past the competition to multiple gold medals.
That finally broke him.
The pain of a run made his heart stronger, but the pain of losing his soulmate broke it.
Eventually, the ruling party deemed him not to be a threat, and let him return to his life and to his love.
In February 2013, the editors at Runner’s World magazine selected him as the Greatest Runner of All Time.
But, he was so much more than a runner.
He loved, he gave, he inspired and his legend lives on in the hearts and minds of millions of people around the world.
And it will continue to do so, as long as his story still gets told.

Sunday 20 October 2019

PRAGNA SYSTEM 01

Lots of efforts went into designing a concept.
1.  what is the idea?
2.  Its basics are proven and existing ?
3.  evaluation of the idea.
4.  Is it sustainable?
5.  Is it scalable ?
6.  Is it in the top bracket of trading and liquidation with minimum slippage?
7.  What do you want? Trend trading .
8.  what will you do in the choppy zone?
9.  Do you stick to particular setting in longer duration?
10 .Are you interested in short term trading?
11. what is the timeframe you look at price action?
12. what do you look for: maximum profit with its associated loss factor?
13.  what do you at : aggressive trades and maximum profits?
14.  Are you interested in less trades and its average profits?
like this lots of checklist gone into my recent idea with the support of my son in coding.

The results are tested with the recent history and in real time.

A new system has evolved with utmost care.

It is not an intelligent trading idea but a trading system which will pay consistently.

As per the testing  in history and real time,the trading system gives an average return of 14.3% - 20.7% per month depends on the volatility and trend.

The trading system can be used in any instrument traded in MT4.

It is more suited to trade Index futures for a consistent pay-off.

Sunday 13 October 2019

Investing in a stagnant market - Adam Fayed





Even stagnant markets, give dividends.
The FTSE 100 is a great example off that. It has been much more stagnant than most markets.
Yet it has a high dividend yield. So this is what reinvesting dividends does.
So when you are out of the market, you miss out on dividends being reinvested, alongside chances to rebalance from bonds when markets fall.
So always invest, for decades. Never be out of the market.

Monday 23 September 2019

Vande Mataram

Mother, I praise thee!
Rich with thy hurrying streams,
bright with orchard gleams,
Cool with thy winds of delight,
Dark fields waving Mother of might,
Mother free.

Glory of moonlight dreams,

Over thy branches and lordly streams,
Clad in thy blossoming trees,
Mother, giver of ease
Laughing low and sweet!
Mother I kiss thy feet,
Speaker sweet and low!
Mother, to thee I praise thee. [Verse 1]

Who hath said thou art weak in thy lands

When the swords flash out in seventy million hands
And seventy million voices roar
Thy dreadful name from shore to shore?
With many strengths who art mighty and stored,
To thee I call Mother and Lord!
Thou who savest, arise and save!
To her I cry who ever her foeman drove
Back from plain and Sea
And shook herself free. [Verse 2]

Thou art wisdom, thou art law,

Thou art heart, our soul, our breath
Thou art love divine, the awe
In our hearts that conquers death.
Thine the strength that nerves the arm,
Thine the beauty, thine the charm.
Every image made divine
In our temples is but thine. [Verse 3]

Thou art Durga, Lady and Queen,

With her hands that strike and her swords of sheen,
Thou art Lakshmi lotus-throned,
And the Muse a hundred-toned,
Pure and perfect without peer,
Mother lend thine ear,
Rich with thy hurrying streams,
Bright with thy orchard gleems,
Dark of hue O candid-fair [Verse 4]

In thy soul, with bejeweled hair

And thy glorious smile divine,
Loveliest of all earthly lands,
Showering wealth from well-stored hands!
Mother, mother mine!
Mother sweet, I praise thee,
Mother great and free! [Verse 5]

Thursday 19 September 2019

My PSI indicator:

Uses a Moving Average algorithm with an ATR filter.
I have also developed another algo which finds the best MA and the filter parameter settings for 'N' weeks.I dont sit with same settings every month.
As of know,I trade in futures of Nifty Bank.
I use options to hedge my positions to protect profit and minimise the loss,end of the day and close them  when market opens,next day.Who knows how the market is going to open next day.
So far trades are good.
I use 40% - 50% of my capital for my trading.
I stopped reading about current markets in the media.
I just follow and loyal to my indicator.
Hopefully,I will become a millionaire in few years.



Tuesday 17 September 2019

Political strategists win the world.

Germany, Japan though very much industrialised not winning strategists.

Think about US,Russia,China and Saudi kingdom in last 10 years,how they evolved.
Each one has adopted different strategies before others understood.

Internet,Cloud and technology, Currency and oil.

How the above three shaped those countries in last 10 years.

I have some theories to explain but wonder why these countries do not mess with each other.
All of some news coming in just the one landed in other's territory.

While all other countries are forced to fight inside their territories to stay or regain power.

nifty