Tuesday 27 September 2016

Pumping

Bitter enemies never agree on anything suspecting foul play.Every nation want to increase their market share.Crude oil unbalanced economies of oil producing nations and central banks of Industrialised Nations infused liquidity to keep their economies stable and ready to pump more.

So Pumping( Money into the system;pumping more oil for revenues)  is the issue.

The common man still struggles to pump clean water.

The nations,UN / World bank should have the vision for next decade. 

Saturday 24 September 2016

ADIDAS: My planned trades with the results of my software.


IGNORE PREVIOUS POST ON ADIDAS: LOW IS OVERLOOKED


GERMANY: ADIDAS SHARE EXITS 158.50,161.00,162.22 Euro.

One can think of shorting @164.24 and 167.50 SL 172.47.
These are outcome of my software applied on low of 69.91 

My request to OPEC and Oil producing countries:

No country anticipated the prices fall in my view and they are waging production /influential war to capture or stabilise their market share / kill other producers which will be of no use to the industry.They have to combine and form a research entity to find newer uses of petroleum to the common man that didnt spoil ecosystem.

Sunday 18 September 2016

Thursday 15 September 2016

Nothing more to share with you. For any assistance,write to me to my Email ( updowncrude@gmail.com). Thank you all.


New way of trading using Numbers and their inherent properties.

No Gann, No elliott wave principles. No reading of Fundamentals and technicals.
EV/EBITDA margins, focus on companies,their business models,
their growth stories,projections, blau, blau blau.

we define mass by units.Units are expressed by numbers.
The number study is called Mathematics.In MATHS, the numbers are grouped
by their properties.

I studied Maths purely on trading perspective.
I have identified three sets and have their own unique properties.
On combining these three sets, they converge and agree on certain points.
I concentrated on those points and tweaked to stock trading.

Based on the inputs a software is developed to identify inflection points or numbers.
They were evaluated and posted in this blog. The xpert money management system
has been worked out and installed.The main aspects are in the previous post.

The system is found to be effective when applied to stock of any country be it America,India,
China.Germany etc.

Hiring a CFA charter holder is unwanted as it looks to me.

Xpert money management incorporated in the software. Evaluation done and looks better.

Aspects:
No stoploss
Periodic buying at lower levels.
Buying ends at previous strong support
Profit booking at periodic intervals.
95% profit booked before the actual target:
only 5% earmarked for actual target.
Leverage planned carefully without stretching to its full limit.
Broker will not call for margin support as own funds and leverage funds are complemented.

There are no long targets, min.10% and max. 100 %.
The trades are planned that there wont be booked loss at any point of time.
Financial instruments traded  are  quality companies with good growth.
No interest in commodities and forex.

Wednesday 14 September 2016

AAPL : BUY triggered 102.68 as per my post on 12th Sep, now bounced and trading above 111, patiently wait for 191 to book profits and exit at 196.76

APPLE INCRecommend
Buy support102.68
99.00
Target191.3232
192.595
194.0451
196.7644

INDIA: YES BANK : My software results










5%
LL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R5 R6 R7
631.00 651.93 721.37 770.13 808.79 870.39 1005.31 1110.42 1438.41
30% BUY ABV 660.95 739.82 781.98 822.38 889.54 1023.80 1128.94 1462.00
20% RT BUY 1 646.65 722.78 764.29 804.04 861.25 998.38 1096.92
20%  RT BUY 2 643.52 714.91 748.34 797.43 847.96 983.46 1079.52
30% BF BUY 636.02 702.35 735.84 790.72 834.19 968.44 1071.68
10% TGT 1 699.86 747.16 784.67 844.43 975.33 1077.31 1395.51
45% TGT 2 706.09 753.81 791.65 851.94 984.01 1086.89 1407.93
TRAILSTOP 699.86 747.16 784.67 844.43 975.33 1077.31 1395.51
40% EXIT 711.40 759.49 797.61 858.36 991.41 1095.08 1418.53
5% RESIST 721.37 770.13 808.79 870.39 1005.31 1110.42 1438.41








My software results on ; ALIBABA GROUP HLDG LTD

  LL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R5 R6 R7
  57.25 63.50 86.53 104.52 118.29 142.43 200.41 249.09 413.32
30% BUY ABV 65.67 92.06 107.31 122.59 149.33 207.12 255.83 427.78
20% RT BUY 1 62.03 87.07 101.86 116.69 139.09 197.23 242.31  
20%  RT BUY 2 61.06 84.35 96.09 114.18 133.78 190.63 234.17  
30% BF BUY 58.77 80.08 91.64 111.65 128.35 184.05 230.53  
10% TGT 1 83.95 101.40 114.76 138.18 194.43 241.66 400.99  
45% TGT 2 84.70 102.31 115.79 139.41 196.16 243.81 404.56  
  TRAILSTOP 83.95 101.40 114.76 138.18 194.43 241.66 400.99  
40% EXIT 85.34 103.08 116.66 140.46 197.64 245.65 407.61  
5% RESIST 86.53 104.52 118.29 142.43 200.41 249.09 413.32  

INDIA: LIC HOUSING FINANCE - My software results

  LL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5
  389.50 533.43 582.82 693.09 780.97 1058.10
30% BUY ABV 541.64 596.75 707.40 795.24 1079.27
20% RT BUY 1 527.38 574.80 687.13 769.27  
20%  RT BUY 2 522.45 563.39 674.77 755.74  
30% BF BUY 517.36 551.71 662.33 748.17  
10% TGT 1 565.44 672.42 757.67 1026.54  
45% TGT 2 570.47 678.40 764.42 1035.68  
  TRAILSTOP 565.44 672.42 757.67 1026.54  
35% EXIT 574.77 683.51 770.17 1043.48  
10% RESIST 582.82 693.09 780.97 1058.10  

Tuesday 13 September 2016

FB: My software results: All targets defined,Nice set up for a profitable ride to 152.65 and 168.22 as it stays above double resistance of 117.

  LL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5   HL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5
  17.80 57.45 73.62 116.98 154.79 288.47   43.55 96.45 117.18 170.58 216.52 374.09
15% BUY ABV 59.11 77.78 120.83 158.59 300.52 15% BUY ABV 101.37 122.60 174.90 224.21 384.13
25% RT BUY 1 55.47 71.54 114.41 149.30   25% RT BUY 1 94.49 114.91 164.86 213.14  
25%  RT BUY 2 54.16 67.55 109.40 143.38   25%  RT BUY 2 89.51 109.47 158.74 206.04  
35% BF BUY 52.26 63.55 104.43 140.09   35% BF BUY 85.42 104.26 154.80 198.55  
10% TGT 1 71.42 113.49 150.17 279.87   10% TGT 1 113.69 165.49 210.07 362.93  
45% TGT 2 72.06 114.50 151.51 282.36   45% TGT 2 114.70 166.97 211.93 366.16  
  TRAILSTOP 71.42 113.49 150.17 279.87     TRAILSTOP 113.69 165.49 210.07 362.93  
35% EXIT 72.60 115.37 152.65 284.49   35% EXIT 115.57 168.22 213.53 368.92  
10% RESIST 73.62 116.98 154.79 288.47   10% RESIST 117.18 170.58 216.52 374.09  

The software under evaluation is for Bull market.I will develop a software for Bear market by year-end.


Monday 12 September 2016

My software results: INDIA TATA MOTORS

  LL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5   HL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5
  137.00 227.04 258.62 334.83 396.52 597.70   266.00 381.52 421.96 518.69 596.17 843.84
15% BUY ABV 230.24 265.85 341.43 403.17 616.09 15% BUY ABV 391.19 431.92 526.02 609.29 859.05
25% RT BUY 1 223.02 254.21 330.59 388.28   25% RT BUY 1 377.56 417.39 508.50 590.95  
25%  RT BUY 2 220.37 246.64 322.03 378.68   25%  RT BUY 2 367.54 406.95 497.71 579.10  
35% BF BUY 216.52 238.94 313.46 373.32   35% BF BUY 359.20 396.86 490.71 566.50  
10% TGT 1 250.70 326.02 382.91 584.16   10% TGT 1 409.37 503.22 578.39 818.68  
45% TGT 2 253.14 327.73 388.12 585.04   45% TGT 2 413.02 507.70 583.54 825.96  
  TRAILSTOP 250.70 326.02 382.91 584.16     TRAILSTOP 409.37 503.22 578.39 818.68  
35% EXIT 255.05 330.20 391.04 589.44   35% EXIT 416.13 511.52 587.93 832.18  
10% RESIST 258.62 334.83 396.52 597.70   10% RESIST 421.96 518.69 596.17 843.84  
 













My Software results on TESLA MOTORS INC

  LL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5   HL R1 R2 R3 R4 R5
  15.74 53.64 69.66 111.80 148.69 280.96   116.1 195.65 225.54 296.67 356.33 552.73
15% BUY ABV 55.30 73.41 115.36 152.32 291.86 15% BUY ABV 202.89 151.88 302.78 259.45 570.80
25% RT BUY 1 51.79 67.35 109.09 143.22   25% RT BUY 1 121.66 143.63 289.53 247.86  
25%  RT BUY 2 50.52 63.48 104.20 137.41   25%  RT BUY 2 116.25 137.74 281.40 137.41  
35% BF BUY 48.68 59.60 99.35 134.19   35% BF BUY 111.70 132.25 276.14 131.31  
10% TGT 1 66.42 107.58 141.24 271.78   10% TGT 1 218.52 289.53 347.91 539.95  
60% TGT 2 68.18 109.44 145.54 275.01   60% TGT 2 220.76 290.39 348.78 541.02  
  TRAILSTOP 66.42 107.58 141.24 271.78     TRAILSTOP 218.52 289.53 347.91 539.95  
20% EXIT 68.69 110.26 146.64 277.08   20% EXIT 222.42 292.57 351.40 545.09  
10% RESIST 69.66 111.80 148.69 280.96   10% RESIST 225.54 296.67 356.33 552.73  

APPLE INC: My software results and Recommend.

R1 R2 R3 R4 R5
11.29 45.07 59.61 99.00 134.22 259.78
0.15 BUY ABV 46.64 63.37 102.68 137.70 Buy  abv
0.25 RT BUY 1 43.42 57.75 96.78 129.05
0.25  RT BUY 2 42.25 54.17 92.17 123.54
0.35 BF BUY 40.58 50.59 87.61 120.49
0.10 TGT 1 56.95 95.44 127.27 252.26
0.60 TGT 2 58.35 96.90 131.38 254.28
TRAILSTOP 56.95 95.44 127.27 252.26
0.20 EXIT 58.79 97.63 132.37 256.19
0.10 RESIST 59.61 99.00 134.22 259.78
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5
55.52 116.93 139.46 196.76 244.93 407.65
0.15 BUY ABV 119.25 145.24 202.33 250.45 Buy  abv
0.25 RT BUY 1 114.07 136.67 194.00 238.74
0.25  RT BUY 2 112.18 131.13 187.46 231.23
0.35 BF BUY 109.43 125.53 180.93 227.05
0.10 TGT 1 134.78 191.32 235.44 397.82
0.60 TGT 2 136.50 192.59 239.74 399.01
TRAILSTOP 134.78 191.32 235.44 397.82
0.20 EXIT 137.53 194.05 241.55 402.02
0.10 RESIST 139.46 196.76 244.93 407.65
APPLE INC Recommend
Buy support 102.68
99.00
Target 191.3232
192.595
194.0451
196.7644

Sunday 11 September 2016

APPLE INC: My Software results.

                     R1 R2             R3 R4
           11.34 45.18 59.75 99.18 133.71
15% BUY ABV 46.74 63.49 102.83 137.87
25% RT BUY 1 43.51 57.86 96.92 129.22
25% RT BUY 2 42.35 54.28 92.31 123.71
35% BF BUY    40.67 50.70 87.75 120.66
20% TGT 1         57.06 95.58 127.43 252.50
60% TGT 2        58.48 97.08 130.87 254.61
TRAILSTOP 57.06 95.58 127.43 252.50
20% EXIT         58.92 97.81 131.86 256.52
RESIST         59.75 99.18 133.71 260.12

Out of curiosity,I checked my Software with the prices of AAPL:

                    R1 R2
54.27         114.33 137.30
15% BUY ABV 117.42 143.21
25% RT BUY 1 112.27 134.70
25% RT BUY 2 110.40 129.20
35% BF BUY    107.67 123.65
20% TGT 1         132.84 189.01
60% TGT 2         134.39 190.00
TRAILSTOP 132.84 189.01
20% EXIT         135.40 191.43

Saturday 10 September 2016

My predictive software:

When I was checking my software on NSE Nifty shares ,I wanted to check for Gold.
I was impressed on its results. PFB.





   1048.00 1344.16 1512.18
15% BUY ABV 1367.01 1532.41
25% RT BUY 1 1340.45 1509.34
25% RT BUY 2 1322.98 1490.99
35%  BF BUY         1305.06 1472.47
65%  TGT1        1509.34 1629.97
35%  EXIT        1512.18 1636.91.


1327.66 - Avg Buy price
1510.33 - Avg Sell price
182.67 -  Profit
13.75 - Profit %

RT is price retrace,
BF is buffer.
Position sizing as % of total investment incorporated in the software.

As I use this tool for short term 1-3 month investment in High quality companies,I dont require a stoploss,in fact I dont want my money disappear.
I work on retracement after a breakout which I have seen( bull/bear fight), on breakout I buy small, on RT, I buy every stage RT 1,RT 2, BF.
Exits are planned carefully, I want to book profit before the price reach its saturation point.Here there are two stages below the target..

Case study:GOLD:

Here I can see the buy around 1367 and the software recommends RT buys at 1340,1322 and BF buy at 1305.Actually the price retraced to 1302.
Now the software says exit 65% at 1509.34 and 35% at 1512.18.

This software is designed for longs only no short trades as Cash market Shares, no need to start,just exit and wait for good buys,stay with cash.

Case study: AXIS BANK.(India)

      364.00 546.64
15% BUY ABV 560.70
25% RT BUY 1 543.73
25% RT BUY 2 532.63
35% BF BUY    521.28
65% TGT1         653.12
35% EXIT         655.20.

Here it shows a buy abv 560.70 and asks us to buy RT-1,2 and BF. After start buying 560.70, the price retraced to 543,532,and 521. The low it made was 518.60.It brilliantly captured lows.
Now wait for targets to achieve.
                                  

535.65 :  buy avg
653.85 :  sell avg
118.20 :  profit per share
22% :  profit in percentage


I will come up with new case studies whenever required.

Friday 9 September 2016

COMMODITIES: RANGE BOUND PRICES

OIL has to break above 54$ and Gold has to go below 1298 for any new ideas.
Until then I am looking at new bottom for Oil and new high for Gold

Wednesday 7 September 2016

My equation on DOW INDEX

R-BAND:
HIGH:18725
LOW: 18663

If DJIA moves above 18725, the next:

R-BAND:
HIGH:19492
LOW: 19434.

The DJIA
S-BAND;
HIGH :17523
LOW:17472

Tuesday 6 September 2016

I am astonished to see the pattern in 52 week low prices of NIFTY 50 (so far I have checked 10 companies)

It didnt matter which companies they are? which sectors they belong to ?
Say let it be Banks( Axis,Yes bank) Autos (TATA Motors,Maruti Suzuki),Manufacturing ( BHEL,Hindalco) or Commodities (GOLD).

I have checked this pattern and I have derived an equation which gives 2 numbers which could be the high and low of  strong BUYs or a Strong SELLs.

I will give a clear example on one index and one commodity.

INDIA NIFTY;

9069-9097 strong sell shows a strong buy at 6886-6829  which in turn shows (intermediate Buy /Sell ignored) 11689 -11873.

GOLD:
BUYs 1044 - 1055 shows strong sell at 1636-1666 ( ignoring intermediate Buy/Sell).

6825 is low of India Nifty.
1666 is the expected high of Gold as of now.

My equation shows 6824 is related to 1666.

1055 is upper buy of Gold
9110 was the lifetime high of India Nifty.

My equation shows 1055 is related to 9034.

I am right now working on the possible highs of Nifty 50 stocks.


nifty