Friday, 21 December 2018
Friday, 12 October 2018
Thursday, 11 October 2018
Wednesday, 10 October 2018
Tuesday, 9 October 2018
Monday, 8 October 2018
Saturday, 6 October 2018
Why I wait 9500 Nifty to buy
On 28th Aug 2018, Nifty 50 hit ATH of 11760 and the NSE website shows NIFTY PE: 28.72 the prior day 27th Aug and on that day 28th Aug it is 28.66. It worked out to =11760/28.72= 409.50 as EPS of Nifty.
FY-19 forward EPS if we take it 13% growth, 409.50 will become 462.70
The standard market sentiment of PE of 20.50 x 462.70 = 9485 Nifty value.
This corresponds to my 61.8 correction at 9485-9515.
Will patiently wait for 9500.
FY-19 forward EPS if we take it 13% growth, 409.50 will become 462.70
The standard market sentiment of PE of 20.50 x 462.70 = 9485 Nifty value.
This corresponds to my 61.8 correction at 9485-9515.
Will patiently wait for 9500.
Courtesy: Kirubakaran Rajendran, Stock Market Trader,Founder - www.squareoff.in
NSE NIfty PE Chart (P/E Ratio) for last 10 years
I have read an post about Nifty PE sometime back in a forum, let me share it here.Below is the Nifty P/E chart for the last 10 years.This is a very important chart for both technical and fundamental analysts. It gives an indication of when to Buy and When to Sell Nifty. Very useful for long term equity investors to time entry and exit in equity markets. P/E chart gives indication of when valuations are cheap and when valuations are peaking. This in-turn gives valuable insight on when to Buy and when to Sell.
You should not judge a stock by its P/E alone, but the Nifty index P/E alone is a pretty conclusive data. Checkout below for proof of that.
Lets analyse the above graph for more insight. All time low of Nifty P/E is 10.68 in 2008 during recession. Belows the Nifty P/E lows or support levels in the last 10 years. These are excellent levels to buy.
Nifty P/E below 13 is a big BUY any-day.
All time high of Nifty P/E is 28.47 in 2000. Belows the Nifty P/E peaks or resistance levels in the last 10 years. These are best levels to SELL. Nifty P/E above 24 is a big SELL any-day.
Current Nifty PE Ratio on 11-Nov-2016 is 22.02
Nifty PE ratio measures the average PE ratio of the Nifty 50 companies covered by the Nifty Index. PE ratio is also known as "price multiple" or "earnings multiple". If P/E is 15, it means Nifty is 15 times its earnings. Nifty is considered to be in oversold range when Nifty PE value is below 14 and it's considered to be in overvalued range when Nifty PE is near or above 22. The market quickly bounces back from the oversold region because intelligent investors start buying stocks looking to snatch up bargains and they do the exact opposite when Nifty P/E is in the overbought region.
Recent research done by my firm shows just how dangerous it is to remain invested in an expensive market. Since NSE started, every time when Nifty's Price/Earnings ratio exceeded 22, the average return from Indian equities over the subsequent three years became negative.
so the picture you mentioned in the question is really valid.
Happy Investing!
Friday, 5 October 2018
Thursday, 4 October 2018
Wednesday, 3 October 2018
Tuesday, 2 October 2018
Monday, 1 October 2018
Sunday, 30 September 2018
http://www.kapuzinergruft.com. Love to visit and will.
IMPERIAL CRYPT.The burial grounds of the Habsburg family in Vienna.
Saturday, 29 September 2018
Friday, 28 September 2018
Thursday, 27 September 2018
HINDPETRO will buy below 190
Inked deal with TATA POWER for E-charge of electrical vehicles.
Assuming INDIA will move fast to E-Vehicles in 10 yrs, HINDPETRO will generate revenues from E-charging as well from its Fuel discharge stations.
Assuming INDIA will move fast to E-Vehicles in 10 yrs, HINDPETRO will generate revenues from E-charging as well from its Fuel discharge stations.
Wednesday, 26 September 2018
Nifty fib - 10360, buy on dips 10122
| Ratio | Price |
|---|---|
| 16255 | |
| 15890 | |
| 14935 | |
| 13755 | |
| 13305 | |
| 12715 | |
| 12125 | |
| 11760 | |
| 11621 | |
| 11535 | |
| 11465 | |
| 11395 | |
| 11309 | |
| 11240 | |
| 11170 | |
| 11084 | |
| 11031 | |
| 10945 | |
| 10875 | |
| 10719 | |
| 10650 | |
| 10580 | |
| 10355 | |
| 10215 | |
| 9625 | |
| 9470 | |
| 7128 |
| Ratio | Price |
|---|---|
| 16247.00 | |
| 14341.00 | |
| 13752.00 | |
| 13527.00 | |
| 13302.00 | |
| 13163.00 | |
| 12938.00 | |
| 11760.00 | |
| 11689.91 | |
| 11621.00 | |
| 11535.00 | |
| 11396.00 | |
| 11310.00 | |
| 11240.50 | |
| 11171.00 | |
| 11085.01 | |
| 11032.00 | |
| 10946.00 | |
| 10876.50 | |
| 10807.00 | |
| 10652.09 | |
| 10582.00 | |
| 10357.00 | |
| 10218.00 | |
| 9993.00 | |
| 7273.00 | |
| 6823.00 |
| 11760.00 | |
| 10360.68 | |
| 8984.88 | |
| 7268.06 | |
| 4492.94 | |
| 2776.12 | |
| 1388.56 | |
| 1.00 |
Tuesday, 25 September 2018
Monday, 24 September 2018
Saturday, 22 September 2018
Bank Nifty - Could be Worst performer in this correction - MAY RETEST 52 WEEK LOW ???
Heavy weight HDFC Bank will crack below 1900
NIFTY CONSTITUENTS: My view.
It is time for regulators to look into designing of Nifty. In best managed Indices like US 30, they are designed to go up. Look at the non stop movement of US 30 from 17500 - 26700. Does it mean that US Economy is going strong and they reduce their debts ? On the contrary,their debts are increasing. Then how come its Index is going high and Nifty correcting? Various reasons can be put forward for this. Because of NIFTY crash always looming large in the minds of investors, retailers hesitate to participate in equity. Like US 30 where you simply set aside your savings in ETF's as the Index is designed to go up always., it is time for regulators to look into Nifty constituents.
If the Nifty is properly designed and more ETF's are planned with minimal fees, income tax for capitals gains accrued from ETF's are slashed, no doubt,savings from Bank and black money will flow into ETF's . Our internal strength in INDIA NIFTY will be augmented.
C.A.D., USD-INR., Crude prices are temporary phase. Planting the positive feeling about our Indices in our own people is the best one, so that our people move away from safety feeling of investing in Bank F.D.,Household Gold ornaments, Black money stacking and and unorganized lending to investing in our stockmarket.
If the Nifty is properly designed and more ETF's are planned with minimal fees, income tax for capitals gains accrued from ETF's are slashed, no doubt,savings from Bank and black money will flow into ETF's . Our internal strength in INDIA NIFTY will be augmented.
C.A.D., USD-INR., Crude prices are temporary phase. Planting the positive feeling about our Indices in our own people is the best one, so that our people move away from safety feeling of investing in Bank F.D.,Household Gold ornaments, Black money stacking and and unorganized lending to investing in our stockmarket.
When Bond yields rise, Private NBFC housing finance companies borrow short term commercial papers at higher rate of interest and lending it longer tenure is almost remind me of the subprime crisis,
The 2008 crisis has reminded some of the large equity holders to dump DHFL when it was learnt they recently bought commercial papers at 11% which was relayed to IndiaBulls housing. Ind due course the overvalued stocks deserved the correction. DHFL was available at Price / Book : 1, Book value 274 and low was around 276 which was a serious buy. As Warren buffet said, one shoukd have the courage to buy during the crash. Those who bought around 280 levels are the kings of values, and those who sold at 610 levels are too.
Friday, 21 September 2018
Thursday, 20 September 2018
Wednesday, 19 September 2018
What we missed and where Warren Buffet and Rakesh Jhunjhuwala scored.
Min.23.6 annual CAGR before tax, from the day they started investing,Just calculate.
Stock-market is simple and is not as complex as you think.
Rule is that if you can understand value of one unit of your currency, you will surely stand to understand where to keep it. in Locker,in Bank, in Deposits,in Bonds,in Stocks,in Indices AFTER understanding the value of one unit of your currency keeping it in above. That's all.But if you want to understand the market noises, you will be nowhere. Our Veda's preach ,understand one's selfness or who you are.
Tuesday, 18 September 2018
Monday, 17 September 2018
Sunday, 16 September 2018
Saturday, 15 September 2018
Friday, 14 September 2018
Thursday, 13 September 2018
A case for stronger $ ?
US : the budget deficit from $665 billion in 2017 to a whopping $1.3 trillion by 2022, according to the Congressional Budget Office (pdf, p.83). By 2028, the CBO says the deficit could rise to $29 trillion—which, as a share of GDP, would be twice the average over the last 50 years.
-https://qz.com/1387565/trump-told-gary-cohn-to-print-money-to-repay-the-national-debt-thats-bananas/?utm_source=quora&utm_medium=referral
-https://qz.com/1387565/trump-told-gary-cohn-to-print-money-to-repay-the-national-debt-thats-bananas/?utm_source=quora&utm_medium=referral
Wednesday, 12 September 2018
FOLLOW UP : 26555.Nifty bank. Low today. My target posted on 6th Sep. Exciting.
Thursday, 6 September 2018
Tuesday, 11 September 2018
Monday, 10 September 2018
Sunday, 9 September 2018
Saturday, 8 September 2018
Thursday, 6 September 2018
Wednesday, 5 September 2018
Tuesday, 4 September 2018
Monday, 3 September 2018
MCX CRUDE
The new strategy has done exceptionally well in paper July,August: 21 trades, 20 trades profit with one loss. Real trading started today.
Saturday, 1 September 2018
Dhandho Investor - Mohnish Pabrai
A company growing at 26 percent CAGR will double in value in three years and will be four times in six years.
Sunday, 26 August 2018
One line : Greatest priceless trait of a successful investor.
Cash combined with courage in a time of crisis is priceless.
Warren BuffettWednesday, 22 August 2018
Tuesday, 21 August 2018
Monday, 20 August 2018
Sunday, 19 August 2018
Short Term Ideas
| SYMBOL | CMP | TARGET | Percent % |
| GAIL | 388.4 | 447.4 | 15.18 |
| SBIN | 302.2 | 354.6 | 17.33 |
| TECHM | 688.4 | 851.6 | 23.70 |
| MINDTREE | 1030 | 1242.2 | 20.60 |
| ZENSAR | 1372 | 1548.8 | 12.89 |
| YESBANK | 395.6 | 427.8 | 8.13 |
| INFY | 1375 | 1678.0 | 22.04 |
| TCS | 1975 | 2418.6 | 22.46 |
| KPIT | 296.5 | 348.5 | 17.54 |
| LTTS | 1605 | 2049.6 | 27.70 |
Saturday, 18 August 2018
Friday, 17 August 2018
Number theory : Source : Chakra vyuga< Mahabharat >
| 1 | 0.142857142857 | 0.142857142857 |
| 2 | 0.142857142857 | 0.285714285714 |
| 3 | 0.142857142857 | 0.428571428571 |
| 4 | 0.142857142857 | 0.571428571428 |
| 5 | 0.142857142857 | 0.714285714285 |
| 6 | 0.142857142857 | 0.857142857142 |
| 7 | 0.142857142857 | 0.999999999999 |
| 8 | 0.142857142857 | 1.142857142856 |
| 9 | 0.142857142857 | 1.285714285713 |
| 10 | 0.142857142857 | 1.428571428570 |
| 11 | 0.142857142857 | 1.571428571427 |
| 12 | 0.142857142857 | 1.714285714284 |
| 13 | 0.142857142857 | 1.857142857141 |
| 14 | 0.142857142857 | 1.999999999998 |
| 15 | 0.142857142857 | 2.142857142855 |
| 16 | 0.142857142857 | 2.285714285712 |
| 17 | 0.142857142857 | 2.428571428569 |
| 18 | 0.142857142857 | 2.571428571426 |
| 19 | 0.142857142857 | 2.714285714283 |
| 20 | 0.142857142857 | 2.857142857140 |
| 21 | 0.142857142857 | 2.999999999997 |
| 22 | 0.142857142857 | 3.142857142854 |
| 23 | 0.142857142857 | 3.285714285711 |
| 24 | 0.142857142857 | 3.428571428568 |
| 25 | 0.142857142857 | 3.571428571425 |
| 26 | 0.142857142857 | 3.714285714282 |
| 27 | 0.142857142857 | 3.857142857139 |
| 28 | 0.142857142857 | 3.999999999996 |
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