Wednesday, 24 December 2014

I am on holidays, Merry Christmas and Happy New Year.


FOOT PRINTS ;

One night a man dreamed,that he was walking along the beach with the Lord,across the
sky flashed scenes from his life,for each scene, he noticed two sets of footprints,one
belonging to him and the other to the lord,,,,. When the last scene of his life flashed before
him,he looked back at the footprints,he noticed,that many times along the path of life,there
was only one set of prints,he also noticed that it happened at the very lowest and saddest
times of his life...

This bothered him and he questioned the Lord about it; " Lord,you said,that once I decided
to follow you,you'd walk with me all the way,but I've noticed,that during the most troublesome
times in my life,there is only one set of footprints,I don't understand why,when I needed you most,you would leave me."The Lord replied: 'My Son,I love you and I would never
leave you,during your times of trial,when you have seen only one set of footprints,
it was then that I carried you.

Fundamental call : Crude MCX buy 3590 and 3445 for target of 3921 or expiry


OPEC basket price since Dec 01

01-12-2014 66.44
02-12-2014 68.13
03-12-2014 67.31
04-12-2014 66.27
05-12-2014 65.32
08-12-2014 63.78
09-12-2014 62.33
10-12-2014 61.35
11-12-2014 60.50
12-12-2014 58.65
15-12-2014 57.92
16-12-2014 55.91
17-12-2014 55.64
18-12-2014 56.30
19-12-2014 55.52
22-12-2014 56.90

OPEC daily basket price stood at $56.90 a barrel Monday, 22 December 2014


Last few days price action indicates Crude oil has found its bottom around 55 $.

I advise my blog readers for trading clues to take buy calls around 55 - 56 $level and buy on dips.
The price action structure seems to facilitate the price to reach next level of 61- 62 $. My understanding is that selling for short term gains might prove otherwise.Keep long and buy on dips.

call correction: No stoploss, if prices fall again buy/ add another lot at 54.30.

Tuesday, 16 December 2014

Geopolitics of OIL - probable reasons for Oil free fall

The Financialist: What do you make of Saudi Arabia’s decision to sustain current levels of production despite a rapid deterioration in global oil prices?

Bruce Jones: Saudi Arabia needs relatively high prices for long-term fiscal and political stability. But they can weather a relatively low price for about 18 months because their unit cost of production is so low and they have large financial reserves.

Keeping oil prices low also achieves three things in the short term. First, it hurts Iran. Second, it damages Russia, which is payback for Russia’s support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. And third, it may slow down the rate of new U.S. production.

TF: Why take aim at Russia and Iran at this particular moment?

BJ: The Saudis confront two existential challenges. The first is non-state actors in Syria and Iraq. The second is the potential economic revival of Iran. The two countries have a long enmity, and Saudi Arabia recognizes that a vibrant Iran would threaten their regional dominance, as Iran has a much larger population and a better geographical position. The Saudis also worry the U.S. will weaken sanctions on Iran, and in the event that occurs, they’re putting pressure on the Iranian government through low oil prices.

- See more at: http://www.thefinancialist.com/the-geopolitics-of-oil-qa-with-bruce-jones/#sthash.PKQspYwn.dpuf

Target achieved. New call Sell 2 lots 54.40 stoploss 56.35 target 52.61 and 50.86


This is not a technical call as it ends at 56.25. But if we take fundamentals and demand-supply / inventory, Crude oil may test 54.45.

Having earned, risking something is usual.
I am initiating a sell call 56.70 stoploss 58.26 for target of 54.40

Friday, 12 December 2014

This blog will resume ideas after christmas and new year

From 112.30
50% retracement is 56.15,which
Crude can reach before christmas.

During Christmas Holidays, subdued production and enhanced usage,
inventories will be less, crude will consolidate. at 50% retracement level of 56.25,
This blog will resume ideas after christmas.

At this time, some of my calls have gone wrong, I sincerely apologize for
my mistakes / misreading.

Christmas and New year greetings to my beloved blog followers.

wish you all what you deserve at the earliest

Thanks to one and all.

Cheers.Enjoy.

Annadurai
H.P : +91 7598155789

Keep stoploss of 60.18 Sell 2 lots crude for target 1 - 58.19 target 2 - 56.31

Call given to subscribers.
First target achieved, on to  second target.

Saturday, 6 December 2014

Stoploss moved to 67.84


OPEC daily basket price stood at $66.27 a barrel Thursday, 4 December 2014


05 Dec 2014 | Vienna, 5 December 2014--The price of OPEC basket of twelve crudes stood at 66.27 dollars a barrel on Thursday, compared with $67.31 the previous day, according to OPEC Secretariat calculations

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